Crypto researchers say bitcoin reached cycle lows 71, 39 and 13 days after the 2014, 2018 and 2022 U.S. midterm elections. If those gaps repeat after the November 3, 2026 vote, the next low could fall between mid-November 2026 and mid-January 2027. Three data points do not establish a rule, and the timing also overlaps with bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle.
Polymarket priced a Democratic sweep of the House and Senate at 72%, with more than $51 million traded on its overall balance-of-power contract. That is a market price, not an election result.
