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Bitcoin Cycle Extends Beyond Historical Norm

ISM Manufacturing PMI Indicates Possible Extended Bitcoin Cycle

  • The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) has been below the neutral mark of 50 for seven consecutive months, indicating ongoing contraction.
  • Historically, peaks in the ISM PMI have aligned with major highs in Bitcoin cycles, suggesting a potential correlation.
  • Analyst Colin Talks Crypto noted that if this pattern holds, it could imply a longer-than-usual cycle for Bitcoin.
  • A sustained move above the neutral PMI level would typically indicate renewed economic expansion, which has historically supported stronger Bitcoin price performance.
  • Recent reports highlight that manufacturing’s share of US economic output is shrinking, meaning a lower PMI does not necessarily equate to an impending recession.

The ISM Manufacturing PMI’s persistent decline signals challenges in the manufacturing sector, influenced by tariffs and weak demand. A reading above the neutral mark could suggest a shift towards growth and potentially affect Bitcoin prices positively.

With the PMI remaining below fifty for several months and historical patterns linking it to Bitcoin cycles, analysts are observing closely for signs of an extended market phase.(Source)

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