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Bitcoin Struggles at $70K as Traders Retreat

Traders Remain Skeptical as Bitcoin Struggles to Maintain $70K Support

  • Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a brief surge of 4% following US President Trump’s announcement to de-escalate tensions in Iran.
  • Futures markets indicate a mere 2% annualized premium, significantly below the typical range of 4% to 8%, reflecting low bullish demand.
  • The $80,000 call option for April at Deribit has only a projected chance of reaching that price at just 20% with an implied volatility of 48%.
  • USD stablecoins traded at a premium of approximately 1.3% against the yuan, indicating balanced buying and selling demand.
  • The S&P500’s recent bounce of about 3% is unlikely to shift investor sentiment away from fixed-income assets amid ongoing economic concerns.

Despite Bitcoin’s temporary rally, bearish sentiment persists among traders due to high oil prices and cautious Federal Reserve policies affecting risk assets. The lack of bullish positioning is evident as traders remain wary after five months of declining prices.

With Bitcoin futures showing only a modest premium and low expectations for significant price increases, confidence in maintaining the $68,000 support level remains fragile. (Source)

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