Analysts Debate the Future of Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle Amid Market Changes
- Bitcoin has declined by approximately 30% from its peak in the year following its last halving.
- Nick Ruck from LVRG Research noted that the breakdown of the four-year cycle began around late October.
- Grayscale forecasts a new all-time high for Bitcoin in the first half of 2026, driven by macro demand and regulatory support.
- Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick revised Bitcoin’s price prediction to $150,000 by the end of 2026.
- Some analysts maintain that Bitcoin has entered a bear market, while others argue that expectations around cycles are shifting.
The debate on whether Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is broken continues as institutional interest grows through ETFs and changes in regulations contribute to market dynamics. Analysts are divided, with some predicting a prolonged bull market into 2026, while others assert that current trends suggest a bear market.
As analysts assess these developments, predictions range from Grayscale’s optimistic outlook to Standard Chartered’s revised forecast, highlighting significant shifts in market sentiment and expectations around the Bitcoin cycle. (Source)
