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Bitcoin Set to Break or Repeat Cycle

Bitcoin’s November Performance: A History of Extremes

  • November has historically been Bitcoin‘s best month, with an average gain of +46.02%, skewed by a +449.35% surge in November 2013.
  • Out of the past Novembers from 2013 to 2024, eight ended positively, while four experienced losses.
  • The median change for November is +10.82%, indicating less volatility when excluding the extreme outlier of November 2013.
  • In contrast, December shows a mixed profile with a modest average gain of +4.75% and a median loss of -3.22%.
  • Historical cycles often peak or bottom in November and December, marking significant market pivots.

November stands out as Bitcoin’s most volatile month historically due to both significant gains and losses, with the largest recorded monthly increase occurring in November 2013. This trend suggests that investors may experience substantial market shifts during this period each year.

Despite the high average returns for November, its performance is heavily influenced by one exceptional year, highlighting how individual months can dramatically affect overall statistics. (Source)

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