Satoshi Nakamoto Bitcoin Movement Bets Surge on Polymarket
- Four Polymarket users have wagered a total of $62,000 that Satoshi Nakamoto will move some Bitcoin this year.
- The odds for this event increased from just 2% at the start of the month to a peak of 15% last week.
- Two new wallets were funded with $30,000 specifically to bet on Satoshi’s potential activity, raising speculation about insider knowledge.
- The market resolves “Yes” if any wallet labeled as Satoshi’s by Arkham Intelligence shows an outflow or swap, based on the Patoshi Pattern.
Recent betting activity on Polymarket suggests heightened speculation about whether Satoshi Nakamoto will move Bitcoin this year, with significant wagers placed by four users and odds spiking to a notable high. The bets are contingent on transactions from wallets identified by Arkham Intelligence as belonging to Satoshi using the Patoshi Pattern criteria.
If any movement occurs from these wallets before year’s end, it could validate the insider theories surrounding these bets and highlight potential gaps in prediction market oversight. (Source)
