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California Governor Bans Insider Betting Markets

California Prohibits Insider Betting by Gubernatorial Appointees

  • California has banned gubernatorial appointees from using non-public information to place bets on prediction markets.
  • The order targets platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, where users wager on real-world outcomes.
  • A trader with a high win rate on Iran-Israel events earned nearly $1 million since 2024.
  • Kalshi has implemented technological controls to block politicians and athletes from trading in relevant markets.
  • More than $10 million has been wagered on the California gubernatorial race across these platforms.

The executive order aims to prevent conflicts of interest by prohibiting the use of insider information for personal gain in prediction markets. This move follows several high-profile cases where suspected insider knowledge led to significant financial gains, drawing national attention and calls for regulation.

By extending conflict-of-interest statutes to prediction markets, California seeks to maintain ethical standards among its officials, contrasting with perceived federal-level ethical failures. Source

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