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Polymarket Bets Skyrocket on Maduro’s Fall

U.S. Military Ousts Maduro, Polymarket Bets Pay Off

  • Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro was removed from power by a U.S. military operation on January 3, 2026.
  • This event resolved numerous Polymarket prediction markets that had been monitoring his potential exit.
  • Contracts related to Maduro’s removal reached full value within hours of the announcement.
  • Traders who bet on Maduro’s removal received significant payouts as a result.

The unexpected removal of Nicolás Maduro by U.S. forces not only altered Venezuela’s political landscape but also concluded several high-stakes prediction markets on Polymarket, rewarding those who anticipated his departure with substantial gains.

This operation swiftly closed contracts at full value, benefiting traders who had bet on this outcome and demonstrating the financial impact of geopolitical events on prediction markets. Source

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