Democrats Urge Trump Acknowledge Israel Nukes

House Democrats’ Call May Impact Israel-Iran and US-Iran Deals

• The likelihood of an Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026, is currently priced at 12.5% YES, up from 8% in the last 24 hours.
• The probability of a US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31 is now at 16.5% YES, rising from 14% over the same period.
• More than two dozen House Democrats have urged the Trump administration to acknowledge Israel’s undeclared nuclear weapons program.
• This political move challenges longstanding US policy and could affect ongoing negotiations with Iran.

Markets reflect mixed impacts: increased tension may hinder an Israel-Iran peace deal, while suspension of ‘Project Freedom’ aligns with a potential US-Iran nuclear agreement. Observers should watch for official responses and regional developments that could influence these outcomes further.