Hezbollah Losses Surge: 130 Fighters Killed

IDF Intensifies Operations in Lebanon, Kills 130 Hezbollah Fighters

• The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026” market is priced at 0.1% YES, unchanged from 24 hours ago and down from 1% seven days ago.
• The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market shows a 9% YES likelihood, down from 10% over the past 24 hours.
• Israel Defense Forces (IDF) intensified military operations in southern Lebanon, resulting in the death of 130 Hezbollah fighters and destruction of a tunnel network.
• The ongoing conflict has led to over 2,000 Lebanese casualties as Israel aims to establish a security zone up to the Litani River.

Recent IDF actions in Lebanon align with decreased market expectations for an Israeli withdrawal by April or June 2026. The military escalation supports continued engagement rather than withdrawal.