Iranian Regime Fall Odds Surge to 14%

Odds of Iranian Regime Falling Rise Amid Military Escalation

• Fighter jets caused explosions over Tehran and Bushehr, as reported by Iranian media.
• The probability of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 increased to 14%, up from 12% the previous day.
• Operation Epic Fury, a US-Israeli campaign, continues to exert pressure on Iran.
• The market for this event sees $59,602 in USDC traded daily, with significant order book depth requiring $195,733 to move the market by five points.
• A YES share at 14¢ offers a potential payout of $1 if the regime falls by June 30—a sevenfold return.

The odds of the Iranian regime falling have risen slightly due to military escalation. A YES share currently offers a sevenfold payout if this outcome occurs by June 30.