Polymarket Odds of US Iran Invasion Hit 63%
Polymarket odds of a US invasion of Iran rise to 63% after President Trump’s comments, impacting Bitcoin ($BTC) which remains stable around $67,500. #Update #Crypto $BTC
Crypto News
General category for all types of news related to the cryptocurrency world.
North Korea Executes $270 Million Cyber Heist
@DriftProtocol reports a $270 million exploit linked to a six-month intelligence operation by North Korean group UNC4736, utilizing sophisticated infiltration methods. #Breaking #Crypto $ETH
Iran Conflict De-escalation Odds Surge 86%
Trump hints at de-escalation with Iran, yet odds of US troops entering by April 30 surge to 86%, reflecting heightened military expectations. #Update #Politics
Crypto AI Automation Limits Claude Access
Anthropic restricts Claude Pro and Max access for Openclaw users, shifting to pay-as-you-go billing, impacting crypto developers with potential cost spikes. #Update #AI
US Forces Surge 86.5% Iran Entry Likely
Israeli elite units rescued an American pilot in Iran, boosting US forces’ entry odds to 86.5% by April 30, impacting prediction markets significantly. #Update #Military
Nevada Court Bans Kalshi Sports Contracts
Nevada court extends ban on @Kalshi’s event-linked contracts, requiring a gambling license to operate. This highlights jurisdictional debates between state and federal authorities on prediction markets. #Update #Legal
Iran Permits Tankers Eases Tensions
Iraq thanks Iran for allowing tankers through the Strait of Hormuz amid tensions; US-Iran ceasefire odds drop to 1% for April 7. #Update #Diplomacy
Crypto Faces 90% Supply Surge Amid Value Crisis
A surge in token supply is diluting returns and disrupting the relationship between fundamentals and price, raising concerns about the long-term viability of cryptocurrencies. #Update #Crypto
Kalshi Contracts Approved by Nevada Court
Judge Jason Woodbury issued a preliminary injunction against @Kalshi, requiring geofencing by May 4, 2026, to block Nevada users after ruling its event contracts as unlicensed gambling.
Oman Iran Talks Impact Ceasefire Odds
Oman and Iran met to discuss transit through the Strait of Hormuz amid skepticism about a US-Iran ceasefire, with market confidence in long-term resolution rising. #Update #Crypto $USDC
AI Policy Tensions Prompt Anthropic PAC Launch
@Anthropic has established an employee-funded Political Action Committee (PAC) amid scrutiny over its political neutrality and ongoing tensions with the Pentagon regarding AI policy. #Update #Crypto
US Forces Entering Iran Odds Surge 86.5%
US forces entering Iran by April 30 surged to 86.5% on Polymarket after Alan Eyre’s comments, with $5.1M trading volume indicating strong trader conviction. #Update #Geopolitics
Federal Reserve Holds Rates Defying 2026 Cuts
Fed funds futures show a 99.5% probability the Federal Reserve holds rates at 3.50%-3.75% on April 29, with no cuts expected in 2026. #Update #Finance
US Forces Entry Odds Surge to 86.5%
U.S. forces recover an F-15E crew member in Iran, raising April 30 entry odds to 86.5% amid significant market activity. #Update #Legal