A Polymarket account called colombiaman spent about $183,000, including fees, on shares that would pay if Republicans keep both chambers of Congress in the 2026 midterms. The bet has not paid out; it would return about $2.9 million if Republicans win both chambers.
The account also spent about $42,200 betting that Democrats would not win both chambers. If Republicans keep Congress, the two bets would return about $3.04 million on roughly $225,000 spent. If control is split, only the second bet pays, leaving the account down about $80,000, excluding a small Texas bet. There is no public indication that the account’s trades are under review.