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CFTC Targets Prediction Market Promotions

CFTC to Review Prediction Market Incentive Programs

  • The CFTC is expected to take action this week on prediction market incentive programs.
  • An August advisory required exchanges to comply by Sept. 14, highlighting issues like “risk-free” trades and unlimited rebates.
  • Incentives from platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are under scrutiny for potentially misleading promotions.
  • The advisory also identified volume-based rewards and market-maker stipends as concerning designs.

The CFTC’s review of prediction market incentives aims to address concerns over misleading promotions that might encourage unethical trading practices, such as wash trading or offering randomized rewards akin to gambling mechanics.

With the deadline for compliance passed, the CFTC may initiate enforcement actions against non-compliant exchanges, underscoring its commitment to maintaining fair trading practices in the industry.

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