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Bitcoin Traders Bet $16.4M on Dip

Bitcoin Price Predictions for 2026 Show Bearish Trends

  • Polymarket traders give a Bitcoin $100,000 price target a mere 19% probability by the end of December 2026, with a $42.7 million trading volume.
  • Kalshi’s year-end forecast for Bitcoin in the $50,000–$55,000 range holds the highest probability at approximately 9.2%, based on $25.8 million in trading volume.
  • Both Polymarket and Kalshi assign only a small chance (4%–7%) for Bitcoin to reach $150,000 before December 31, 2026.
  • Polymarket indicates a significant bearish sentiment with a majority betting on Bitcoin dipping below $50,000 at some point in the year.

The current market sentiment across both Polymarket and Kalshi platforms reflects bearish expectations for Bitcoin prices through to the end of December 2026. The consensus suggests limited optimism for significant price increases beyond established thresholds such as $75K or higher.

With over $78 million in combined trading volume between both platforms, traders are predominantly betting against substantial upward movements for Bitcoin within this period. (Source)

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