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Fed Rate Cuts Expected at 50 bps

UBS Predicts Federal Reserve Rate Cuts, Impacting Crypto and Stocks

  • UBS forecasts two rate cuts of 25 basis points (bps) each in September and December.
  • The federal funds rate is expected to reach approximately 3.00-3.25% by the end of the year.
  • Fed Governor Stephen Miran now anticipates three rate cuts instead of four in the upcoming years.
  • If rate cuts occur, Bitcoin and gold are projected to rise, along with broader crypto markets and the S&P 500.
  • Miran downplays inflation risks from tariffs and geopolitical tensions, citing stable inflation data.

UBS’s outlook for a total of a potential reduction of up to **50 bps** later this year reflects confidence in controlled inflation despite rising oil prices. The anticipated easing may encourage investment in Bitcoin and other assets as market conditions improve.

With UBS projecting significant rate cuts, Bitcoin could see increased institutional interest alongside rising stock markets, reinforcing its position as a viable asset class amid economic shifts.

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