US-Iran Tensions Rise with Nuclear Option Consideration
- Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar indicates nuclear action is a real option as conventional methods fail with Iran.
- The probability of no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 increased to 13.5%, up from 9% the previous day.
- Market odds for a diplomatic meeting resolution rose sharply, from 2% a week ago, following Aguilar’s comments.
- The likelihood of the Iranian regime collapsing by June 30 is priced at 8.5%, while a collapse by May 31 is seen at just 3.9%.
- A $7,057 trade can shift market odds by five percentage points, indicating susceptibility to large trades.
The increasing tension between the US and Iran has led to consideration of nuclear options, raising market odds for no diplomatic meeting by June 30 to 13.5%. The potential for an Iranian regime collapse remains low in the near term but could change with escalated military actions.
Source (3.2)https://cryptobriefing.com/us-considers-nuclear-option-as-iran-tensions-escalate/?rand=59535
