Kalshi Research Arm Launches 40% Outperformance

Kalshi Research Launches with 40% Outperformance Over Wall Street

• Kalshi has launched Kalshi Research to support academic forecasting by providing access to its proprietary prediction market data.
• The company claims to operate the world’s largest repository of regulated prediction market data, aiming to become a research hub similar to OpenAI or Anthropic.
• Kalshi’s initial study shows its inflation market forecasts outperformed Wall Street consensus by 40%.
• The forecasts matched or exceeded the consensus in 85% of inflation prints one week out and cut mean absolute error by 50% during volatile periods.
• Researchers from Harvard, Stanford, Yale, and the University of Chicago are involved in the initiative, with calls for papers and conference registration now open.

Kalshi has launched a new research division that offers proprietary prediction market data for academic study. Its debut study indicates that Kalshi’s inflation forecasts outperform traditional economic predictions by 40%, demonstrating greater accuracy during volatile periods.