Predictions: Trump Tariffs Canadian Election Papal Future

Key Prediction Markets: Canadian Election, Next Pope, U.S.-China Trade Deal

• Mark Carney’s odds of winning the Canadian election are at 82.4% on Myriad.
• The next pope market favors “Other” at 48.2%, with Cardinal Parolin at 29.2%.
• The U.S.-China trade deal likelihood is at 62.4% for no deal by June 15.
• Fed rate cut odds show an 84.2% chance of no cut by May 8.

Prediction markets indicate strong support for Mark Carney in Canada’s election and a high probability of no Fed rate cut by May, while the next pope and U.S.-China trade deal outcomes remain uncertain.