Kalshi Traders Bet 68% on Fable 5 Return
Anthropic halts Claude Fable 5 access after U.S. export control directive; traders predict 71% chance of restoration by July 2026. Amazon CEO flagged jailbreak issues to Trump officials. #Update #AI
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Bitcoin Odds Surge 69% for $50K
Kalshi Crypto reports a 69% chance Bitcoin will reach $50,000 before $100,000, reflecting bearish sentiment in prediction markets. #Update #Crypto $BTC
SEC Chair Gensler Defends Prediction Markets Regulation
Former SEC and CFTC Chair Gary Gensler argues prediction markets do not override state regulations, as legal disputes continue between courts on their legitimacy. #Update #Legal $BTC
Kalshi Mandates Employer Disclosure to Combat Insider Trading
@Kalshi will require some users to disclose their employers to combat insider trading, implementing new screening and risk-scoring measures immediately. #Update #Crypto
CFTC Approves New Prediction Markets Framework
The CFTC proposes a new framework for event contracts, offering clarity for platforms like @Kalshi and potentially benefiting @Polymarket amid reduced regulatory uncertainty. #Update #Legal
Moomoo Launches Prediction Markets with Kalshi Partnership
@Moomoo partners with @Kalshi to offer CFTC-regulated event contracts for trading on economic, political, and cultural outcomes, expanding access to prediction markets. #Update #Crypto
Kalshi Challenges Minnesota’s Prediction Market Ban
Kalshi sued Minnesota to block SF4760, a felony ban on prediction markets. The CFTC filed its own suit, challenging state overreach into federal regulation. Legal
Bitcoin Perpetual Approved by CFTC
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) approved KalshiEX LLC’s BTCPERP, the first regulated bitcoin perpetual contract in the U.S., establishing a framework for onshoring crypto derivatives.
CFTC Sues Minnesota Over Prediction Market Ban
@Kalshi has filed a federal lawsuit against Minnesota’s new law criminalizing prediction markets, claiming it violates the Supremacy Clause and First Amendment rights. #Update #Legal $USDT
Congress Launches Insider Trading Probe on Polymarket Kalshi
The U.S. House Oversight Committee, led by Rep. James Comer, is investigating @Polymarket and @Kalshi for potential insider trading by government employees using classified information for profit #Breaking #Legal $POLY $KAL
Prediction Markets Banned in India Polymarket Shuts Down
@Polymarket is inaccessible in India following a government directive targeting illegal betting platforms; @Kalshi may face similar restrictions soon. #Update #Crypto $BTC
CFTC Approves NHL Prediction Market Safeguards
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has signed a memorandum of understanding with the National Hockey League to oversee prediction market betting, enhancing integrity measures against fraud and insider trading. #Update #Legal $USDT
Kalshi Surges to $22B Valuation Post Funding
Kalshi raises $1B in Series F led by Coatue, doubling valuation to $22B as institutional trading volumes surge 800%; funds to develop institutional products. #Update #Finance
Ethereum Dips Below $2265 Struggles to Recover
Hyperliquid (@Hyperliquid) is testing HIP-4 for prediction markets to compete with Polymarket and Kalshi, offering non-leveraged contracts. $HYPE token remains volatile. #Update #Crypto