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CFTC Approves New Prediction Markets Framework

CFTC Introduces New Framework for Event Contracts

  • The CFTC proposed a June framework with a defined evaluation process for event contracts, including a 90-day review period.
  • Kalshi gains clearer submission rules, while Polymarket may see reduced regulatory uncertainty.
  • The proposal amends Regulation 40.11 and adds Appendix F to Part 40, focusing on prediction markets.
  • War, terrorism, and assassination contracts remain likely candidates for prohibition under the new framework.

The CFTC’s new framework aims to provide clarity and transparency in evaluating event contracts, particularly those related to gaming and other sensitive topics. This change replaces previous attempts that faced criticism and were withdrawn.

By establishing a structured review process, the CFTC seeks to balance market integrity with innovation while addressing concerns about profiting from adverse events. Source

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