Indian Rupee Crashes Amid Iran Conflict
Under RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra, the Indian rupee hits record lows due to global shocks and Iran conflict; crude prices rise amid Strait of Hormuz disruption. #Update #Economy
Cryptobriefing
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DOJ Probes Epstein Files Transparency Act
The US DOJ Inspector General investigates the release of Epstein investigation records, with market odds for a client list release by June 30 rising to 6%. #Update #Legal
Israel Lebanon Talks Hosted by US
The U.S. will host Israel-Lebanon talks as the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire market remains at 100% YES, indicating stable diplomatic expectations. #Update #Diplomacy
Iran Leadership Speculation Surges Amid Injuries
Mojtaba Khamenei’s injuries from a February airstrike increase Iran leadership change speculation; prediction market rises to 39% YES for change by December 31. #Update #Iran
Middle East Conflict Threatens Global Credit Stability
Fitch warns prolonged Middle East conflict may worsen credit challenges for developed markets; Bitcoin predictions for April 25 remain 100% YES despite geopolitical tensions. #Update #Crypto $BTC
Trump Blocked from Iran Rescue Command
Military advisers excluded Trump from an Iran rescue operation command room, fearing his temper, per WSJ. Polymarket reflects decreased confidence in Trump’s military decision-making. #Update #Politics
USDC Adoption: Pornhub Drops USDT
Pornhub shifts from $USDT to $USDC for creator payments, citing EU MiCA compliance. Update payment details by June 1 to avoid disruptions. #Update #Crypto $USDC
Iran Oil Concerns Boost Energy Stocks
Goldman Sachs recommends energy stocks amid Iran oil supply concerns; Polymarket odds of regime fall by May 31 at 3.4% as crude prices exceed $120/barrel. #Update #Energy
Israel Strikes Journalist in Lebanon Attack
Israel’s “double-tap” strike in southern Lebanon killed journalist Amal Khalil, injured Zeinab Faraj; ceasefire markets at 100% YES despite ongoing hostilities. #Update #MiddleEast
North Korean Hackers Target macOS Financial Firms
North Korean hackers use AppleScript and ClickFix in macOS malware attacks on financial firms, raising crypto hack odds over $100M by year-end to 100%. #Update #Cybersecurity
Iran Threatens Trump Amid Unrest
A suspected Iranian front group, Harakat Ashab al-Yamin al-Islamia, threatens the Trump family amid Iran’s domestic unrest; June 30 regime fall market at 8.5% YES. #Update #Geopolitics
Algorithmic Bias Undermines Hiring Integrity
Carissa Véliz highlights the risks of predictive technologies in perpetuating biases in hiring and finance, emphasizing the need for enlightened decision-making to ensure fairness. #Update #AI
Commodities Markets Launches with Pyth Kalshi Partnership
Pyth Network expands its partnership with Kalshi, integrating Pyth price feeds for commodities contracts including gold and crude oil. #Update #Market
Bitcoin Surges on Iran Ceasefire Extension
Bitcoin surged past $79K after a US-Iran ceasefire extension, breaking a months-long range. Ethereum and Solana also gained. Fear remains in the market. #Update #Crypto $BTC