Bitcoin Adoption Boosts El Salvador Eyes $100K
Bitfinex supports El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption, aligning with its strategy to boost reserves. Odds for $BTC hitting $100K by June 30 remain undefined. #Update #Crypto $BTC
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Trump Mulls US Forces in Iran as Odds Hit 66%
Trump considers deploying US special forces to Iran; odds of entry by April 30 rise to 66%, reports Al Jazeera. Market reacts with increased liquidity. #Breaking #Politics
US Military Odds Surge to 66% Post-Isfahan Strike
US and Israeli forces target Isfahan, Iran; USS Gerald R. Ford returns to Middle East, raising odds of US intervention to 65.5% by April 30. #Update #Military
Revolutionary Guard Explosions Boost Regime Fall Odds
Explosions near a Revolutionary Guard base in Iran raise regime fall odds to 14% by June 30, up from 10%. Traders remain cautious. #Update #Geopolitics
Iran Downs US Jet CENTCOM Denies
Iran claims downing a U.S. jet; CENTCOM denies, all jets accounted. April 30 market rises to 60.5% YES for U.S. forces entering Iran, reflecting escalation fears. #Update #Military
Bitcoin Market Expands with Circle’s cirBTC Launch
Circle unveils cirBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin product for institutional users, launching on Ethereum and Arc, aiming to expand its tokenized market infrastructure. #Update #Crypto $BTC
Polymarket Launches Pyth-Powered Prediction Markets
Polymarket integrates @PythNetwork for financial prediction markets in stocks, commodities, and indices, enhancing transparency. Includes Tesla, Coinbase, Nvidia. #Update #Finance
Iran Oman Draft Hormuz Protocol
Trump to sign order paying DHS employees amid shutdown. Iran, Oman draft Strait of Hormuz protocol. US-Iran ceasefire odds shift; April 30 market up to 38% YES. #Update #Politics
Telegram Wallet Launches Perps Trading for 150M
Wallet in Telegram partners with Lighter to offer perpetual futures trading to 150M users, integrating leveraged positions on assets like $BTC and $ETH with up to 50× leverage. #Update #Crypto
Iran Minister Survives Assassination Wife Killed
Iran’s foreign minister critically injured in assassination attempt; wife killed. Odds of regime fall by June 30 drop to 10%. Focus on leadership amid Operation Epic Fury. #Update #Political
China Mediates Hormuz Crisis Ceasefire Odds
China mediates Hormuz crisis, raising US-Iran ceasefire odds to 38.5% by April 30. Watch for diplomatic moves and market reactions. #Update #Diplomacy
US Iran Ceasefire Odds Plunge 18%
Operation Epic Fury escalates, reducing April 7 ceasefire odds to 8.5% from 10%. US forces entry into Iran by April 30 is at 52.5%. #Update #Geopolitics
Trump Proposes US Seize Iran Uranium
Trump proposes using US ground forces to seize Iran’s uranium, causing market activity; April 30 troop entry odds fall to 52.5%. Watch for CENTCOM or Pentagon statements. #Update #Geopolitics
US Delays Iranian Strikes to April 6
The US delays strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure to April 6, favoring diplomacy. Ceasefire odds for April 7 drop to 7.5%. #Update #Diplomacy